Single-cell RNA Sequencing Report, generated by Drylab

Metastatic Breast Cancer Molecular Profiling Across Patient Groups

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Dataset Overview

This analysis examined GSE124647, a metastatic breast cancer gene expression dataset comprising 140 patients profiled on Affymetrix Human Genome U133 Plus 2.0 arrays (22,283 probesets). Patients were stratified into good survival (OS > 24.05 months or censored, n=88) versus poor survival (OS ≤ 24.05 months with death event, n=52) groups . The comprehensive workflow included differential expression analysis, pathway enrichment, and molecular subtyping to identify survival-associated signatures and therapeutic vulnerabilities.

Top Significant Genes and Their Functions

Most Significant Survival-Associated Genes

The differential expression analysis identified 70 genes significantly associated with overall survival (FDR < 0.05), with a notable asymmetric regulation pattern: 41 genes downregulated and 29 genes upregulated in poor survival.

Expression patterns for the top 6 genes demonstrate robust separation between survival groups with gene symbols now clearly identifying each biomarker

IL6ST (Interleukin 6 Signal Transducer) emerges as the most robust biomarker, with 4 independent probesets (212196_at, 212195_at, 204864_s_at, 203685_at) all showing consistent downregulation in poor survival (logFC range: -0.97 to -1.08, all FDR < 0.01) . IL6ST encodes gp130, the obligate co-receptor for the entire IL-6 cytokine family, and its multi-probe concordance provides exceptional confidence that impaired JAK-STAT signaling is a core feature of poor prognosis in metastatic breast cancer.

ASS1 (Argininosuccinate Synthase 1) shows the strongest upregulation in poor survival (logFC = +1.36, FDR = 7.64×10⁻³) . As the rate-limiting enzyme in arginine biosynthesis, ASS1 elevation indicates metabolic reprogramming toward anabolic pathways, potentially supporting metastatic colonization but also creating an arginine auxotrophy that could be therapeutically exploited.

BCL2 (BCL2 Apoptosis Regulator) exhibits paradoxical downregulation in poor survival (logFC = -0.80) . Rather than representing tumor suppression, BCL2 loss in this metastatic context reflects enhanced apoptotic susceptibility and loss of cellular homeostasis, as confirmed by pathway enrichment showing dysregulated p53 and extrinsic apoptotic signaling.

Additional key genes include:

  • CCNG2 (Cyclin G2, logFC = -0.65): Cell cycle checkpoint disruption

  • SHMT2 (Serine Hydroxymethyltransferase 2, logFC = +0.82): One-carbon metabolism activation

  • NFIB (Nuclear Factor I/B, logFC = +0.75): Transcriptional reprogramming

  • LARP1 (La-related protein 1, logFC = -0.70): RNA processing dysfunction

  • TPI1 (Triosephosphate Isomerase 1, logFC = +0.68): Glycolytic enhancement

  • INPP4B (Inositol Polyphosphate-4-Phosphatase Type II, logFC = +0.65): Tumor suppressor maintenance

  • BTN3A3 (Butyrophilin 3A3, logFC = -0.60): Immune checkpoint dysfunction

  • STAT6 (Signal Transducer and Activator of Transcription 6, logFC = -0.58): IL-4/IL-13 signaling impairment

Functional Gene Categories

The 70 significant genes cluster into five major functional themes :

1. Immune System Dysfunction (4 genes): IL6ST↓, BTN3A3↓, STAT6↓, ELF1↓ — representing immune exhaustion through JAK-STAT disruption, checkpoint dysfunction, and transcriptional suppression

2. Apoptosis & Cell Death (4 genes): BCL2↓, PMAIP1↑, TP53INP1↑, CDKN1A↑ — indicating dysregulated cell death with loss of anti-apoptotic protection and enhanced p53-mediated stress responses

3. Metabolism & Biosynthesis (3 genes): ASS1↑, SHMT2↑, TPI1↑ — reflecting coordinated metabolic reprogramming across arginine biosynthesis, one-carbon metabolism, and glycolysis

4. Growth Control & Tumor Suppression (2 genes): CCNG2↓, INPP4B↑ — showing altered growth regulatory mechanisms with checkpoint loss and variable tumor suppressor preservation

5. Transcription & RNA Processing (2 genes): NFIB↑, LARP1↓ — demonstrating fundamental gene regulatory changes through transcriptional reprogramming and RNA processing defects

The biological narrative that emerges is compelling: poor survival in metastatic breast cancer is characterized by immune signaling exhaustion (IL6ST, STAT6, ELF1 all suppressed) combined with metabolic reprogramming toward anabolic pathways (ASS1, SHMT2, TPI1 elevated). The downregulation of BCL2, traditionally considered anti-apoptotic, in poor survival may reflect a more complex role in maintaining cellular homeostasis in the metastatic niche. The convergence of multiple IL-6 pathway components (IL6ST, STAT6) suggests this axis as a high-priority therapeutic target for improving outcomes.


Key Enriched Pathways

Pathway Enrichment Overview

Comprehensive pathway enrichment analysis identified 2,195 significantly altered biological processes across GO, KEGG, and Reactome databases, with 57 of the 70 genes successfully mapped to pathway annotations :

  • GO Biological Process: 1,613 enriched terms

  • GO Molecular Function: 212 enriched terms

  • GO Cellular Component: 132 enriched terms

  • KEGG Pathways: 112 enriched terms

  • Reactome Pathways: 259 enriched terms

Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) revealed 9 significantly enriched GO Biological Process pathways, all showing negative enrichment (NES range: -2.48 to -2.02), indicating systematic downregulation of fundamental regulatory processes in poor survival patients .

Major Pathway Categories

1. Apoptosis & Cell Death — The most statistically significant theme across databases

The p53 signaling pathway (KEGG, p.adj = 0.012, 4 genes: BCL2, PMAIP1, TP53INP1, CDKN1A) represents the top KEGG enrichment . Extrinsic apoptotic signaling pathway via death domain receptors (GO BP, p.adj = 0.003, 5 genes) dominates GO Biological Process enrichment . The involvement of BCL2 (downregulated), PMAIP1, TP53INP1, and CDKN1A indicates enhanced cell death susceptibility rather than controlled apoptosis, with disruption of the BCL2 family protein complex (GO CC, p.adj = 0.045) confirming anti-apoptotic machinery dysfunction .

2. Immune System Dysfunction — Central to survival differences

T cell lineage commitment (GO:0002360, p.adj = 0.043, 3 genes), alpha-beta T cell lineage commitment (GO:0002363, p.adj = 0.031, 3 genes), and regulation of immune system process (GO:0002682, GSEA NES = -2.02, p.adj = 0.045) demonstrate disrupted T cell biology . The JAK-STAT signaling pathway (KEGG, p.adj = 0.30, 3 genes: BCL2, IL6ST, STAT6) directly corroborates the IL6ST multi-probe downregulation . Interleukin signaling (Reactome, 5 genes including IL6ST, STAT6, BCL2) and Interferon gamma signaling (Reactome, p = 0.005, 3 genes) reinforce chronic immune exhaustion as a hallmark of poor prognosis .

3. Viral Response Activation — An unexpected finding

Viral process (GO:0016032) ranks among the top 3 most significant GO Biological Process terms (p.adj = 0.003, 9 genes) . Combined with Interferon gamma signaling (Reactome, p = 0.005) and Interferon Signaling (Reactome, 4 genes) , this indicates persistent inflammatory activation that may accelerate disease progression rather than provide antiviral protection.

4. Cellular Signaling Disruption — GSEA reveals coordinated repression

The most compelling GSEA finding is systematic negative enrichment of fundamental regulatory processes: biological regulation (NES = -2.48, p.adj = 0.013, 42 genes), regulation of cellular process (NES = -2.25, p.adj = 0.027, 39 genes), signaling (NES = -2.31, p.adj = 0.034, 26 genes), cell surface receptor signaling pathway (NES = -2.20, p.adj = 0.045, 14 genes), and signal transduction (NES = -2.16, p.adj = 0.045, 25 genes) . The consistent negative NES values indicate coordinated transcriptional repression representing loss of cellular homeostasis as a core poor survival phenotype.

5. Metabolic Reprogramming — Adaptive biosynthetic capacity

Biosynthesis of amino acids (KEGG, p.adj = 0.113, 3 genes: ASS1, SHMT2, TPI1), Carbon metabolism (KEGG, 3 genes), and Glyoxylate and dicarboxylate metabolism (KEGG, 2 genes) reflect altered biosynthetic capacity . Mitochondrial protein degradation (Reactome, p = 0.0004, 4 genes: ATP5F1C, CHCHD2, MDH2, SHMT2) suggests mitochondrial dysfunction and cellular stress . The upregulation of ASS1, SHMT2, and TPI1 indicates a shift toward anabolic metabolism supporting tumor cell proliferation.


Molecular Subtypes for Patient Stratification

Three Distinct Molecular Subtypes

Consensus clustering of the 70 survival-associated genes identified three distinct molecular subtypes with highly significant association to clinical outcomes (χ² p-value = 5.4×10⁻⁴) :

  1. High-Risk "Immune-Exhausted Apoptotic" Subtype

  • Prevalence: 82 patients (58.6% of cohort)

  • Poor Survival Rate: 63.4% (vs 32.1% in Low-Risk)

  • Signature Genes: BCL2↓, CCNG2↓, LARP1↓, BTN3A3↓, SP100↓, CLK1↓, TNPO3↓

  • Biology: Multi-system failure characterized by immune exhaustion (BTN3A3↓, IL6ST↓, STAT6↓), apoptotic dysregulation (BCL2↓), cell cycle checkpoint failure (CCNG2↓), and RNA processing defects (LARP1↓, TNPO3)

  • Therapeutic Strategy: Multi-modal restoration including IL6ST/JAK-STAT pathway activation, BCL2 pathway modulation, immune checkpoint targeting (BTN3A3), and epigenetic reprogramming

  1. Low-Risk "Metabolically-Adaptive Immune-Preserved" Subtype

  • Prevalence: 56 patients (40.0% of cohort)

  • Poor Survival Rate: 32.1% (50% reduction vs High-Risk, representing a 2-fold prognostic separation)

  • Signature Genes: IL6ST preserved, ASS1↑, SHMT2↑, TPI1↑, INPP4B↑, CHCHD2↑

  • Biology: Metabolic adaptation with preserved immune competence through IL6ST maintenance, coordinated upregulation of arginine biosynthesis (ASS1), one-carbon metabolism (SHMT2), and glycolysis (TPI1), with tumor suppressor activity (INPP4B) maintained

  • Therapeutic Strategy: Metabolic targeting including arginine depletion (ADI-PEG20), SHMT2 inhibitors, glycolysis inhibitors, exploiting metabolic dependencies as vulnerabilities

  1. Excellent-Prognosis Subtype

  • Prevalence: 2 patients (1.4% of cohort)

  • Poor Survival Rate: 0% (exceptional outcomes)

  • Biology: Rare subtype requiring larger sample sizes for robust characterization, represents potential model for protective mechanisms

  • Therapeutic Strategy: De-escalation/surveillance approaches, identification of resistance mechanisms


Subtype Validation and Clinical Significance

The molecular subtypes demonstrate clear biological coherence with minimal overlap in signature gene expression patterns

The survival outcome distribution confirms that molecular subtypes capture clinically meaningful heterogeneity, with the High-Risk subtype showing predominantly poor survival (63.4%) while the Low-Risk subtype shows favorable outcomes (67.9% good survival)


Clinical Translation and Therapeutic Implications

Diagnostic Development

6-Gene qPCR Classifier: BCL2, CCNG2, LARP1 vs IL6ST, ASS1, SHMT2

  • Rapid subtype assignment (4-6 hours from biopsy)

  • Standard equipment, cost <$200 per test

  • Clinical laboratory implementation feasible

3-Protein IHC Panel: BCL2, IL6ST, ASS1

  • Standard pathology workflow

  • No specialized equipment required

  • Visual scoring algorithm for subtype assignment


Subtype-Specific Therapeutic Strategies

High-Risk Subtype Targets:

  • IL6ST restoration: Recombinant IL-6, JAK1/JAK2 agonists, gp130 receptor modulators to reconstitute immune signaling

  • BCL2 pathway modulation: Selective BCL2 restorers (not inhibitors like venetoclax), MCL-1 inducers for apoptotic protection

  • Immune checkpoint restoration: BTN3A3 targeting for γδ T cell activation, novel approaches beyond conventional PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors

  • Epigenetic reprogramming: BET inhibitors, HDAC inhibitors, splicing modulators to restore gene regulatory programs

Low-Risk Subtype Targets:

  • Arginine depletion: ADI-PEG20 (pegylated arginine deiminase, FDA breakthrough therapy) exploiting ASS1-driven arginine auxotrophy

  • One-carbon metabolism inhibition: SHMT2 inhibitors (SHIN1/SHIN2), antifolates targeting nucleotide biosynthesis

  • Glycolytic disruption: TPI1 pathway inhibitors, 2-DG, dichloroacetate, LDHA inhibitors

  • PARP inhibitors: Exploiting DNA repair pathway context with INPP4B expression


Proposed Clinical Trial Design

Phase II Subtype-Stratified Trial:

  • High-Risk Arm (n=120): Immune restoration + BCL2 modulator + CDK4/6 inhibitor vs standard chemotherapy, primary hypothesis: 40% improvement in median OS

  • Low-Risk Arm (n=80): ADI-PEG20 + SHMT2 inhibitor vs standard chemotherapy, primary hypothesis: 50% improvement in median PFS

  • Biomarker Endpoints: IL6ST restoration tracking, arginine depletion efficacy, circulating tumor DNA subtype monitoring


Summary

This comprehensive molecular analysis of 140 metastatic breast cancer patients has identified 70 survival-associated genes forming three clinically-relevant molecular subtypes with distinct therapeutic vulnerabilities. The IL6ST/JAK-STAT axis emerges as the primary immune dysfunction mechanism, while metabolic reprogramming through ASS1, SHMT2, and TPI1 represents both an adaptive survival mechanism and a targetable vulnerability. Pathway enrichment across >2,000 biological processes reveals that poor survival reflects multi-system failure (immune exhaustion, apoptotic dysregulation, signaling collapse) rather than isolated gene changes.

The molecular subtypes provide 2-fold prognostic separation (63.4% vs 32.1% poor survival, p = 5.4×10⁻⁴) and enable precision medicine strategies: multi-modal restoration for High-Risk patients experiencing biological collapse, and targeted metabolic disruption for Low-Risk patients whose adaptive programs create exploitable dependencies. With clinical-grade diagnostic assays (6-gene qPCR, 3-protein IHC) and subtype-matched therapeutic strategies defined, this analysis provides an actionable framework for improving outcomes in metastatic breast cancer through personalized treatment selection based on molecular classification.

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